An active tropical wave moving across the Atlantic is showing stronger signs of organization, with forecasters now giving it a high likelihood of becoming a tropical system in the coming days.

According to the latest updates, the disturbance has an 80% chance of development within seven days and a 40% chance of formation in the next 48 hours.

Meteorologists are monitoring the system closely, with reliable models – particularly the European model – indicating that if a tropical cyclone does form, it is likely to track north of the Caribbean islands.

While current guidance suggests the region may avoid a direct impact, forecasters caution that tropical systems can be unpredictable, and any shift in track could alter the outlook. Residents are being urged to monitor official advisories as the system continues to evolve.