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    OPINION: Why Bigger May Not Be Better: Bank Mergers, Market Power and the Price of Lost Competition

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    Imagine a world where financial transactions depended solely on bartering and promises. Banking stands as your shield against that chaos. They secure your hard-earned money, fund local businesses, and keep our economy moving. True success isn’t corporate profits, but delivering fair, reliable financial lifelines to our communities.

    A useful starting point is a service-quality framework adapted from SERVQUAL, built around five dimensions: reliability, responsiveness, assurance, empathy and tangibles. In banking, that means dependable transactions and ATMs; prompt assistance; competent and trustworthy staff; attention to customer circumstances; and accessible branches and digital services. Major mergers should therefore be accompanied by service-quality assessments so promised efficiencies can be measured against actual customer experience.

    This is particularly relevant in Antigua and Barbuda following discussion about CIBC Caribbean Bank. The Rt. Hon. Gaston Browne, Prime Minister of Antigua and Barbuda, has supported greater local ownership while warning against further concentration of the domestic banking market. His position deserves serious consideration because it balances two legitimate objectives: strengthening indigenous financial capacity while preserving the competition necessary to protect consumers.

    The immediate context is significant. Butterfield announced on May 28, 2026 an agreement to acquire CIBC’s 91.7 per cent controlling interest in CIBC Caribbean for approximately US$1.794 billion, subject to required approvals. The proposed combination would create an institution with approximately US$29 billion in assets.

    The Prime Minister’s caution should not be interpreted as opposition to local banks. It is an argument for responsible local ownership within a competitive market. A government committed to indigenous ownership need not support every acquisition if the result could concentrate excessive market power in too few hands.

    He has also raised concerns about fees, ATM availability, lending and service quality. These issues define the daily relationship between banks and citizens. If consolidation leaves customers with fewer realistic alternatives, pressure on institutions to improve service, moderate fees and compete for borrowers may weaken.

    Bank mergers can bring genuine benefits through economies of scale, stronger cybersecurity, better technology and broader services. But in a small market, removing a meaningful competitor can also reduce consumer choice.

    The Eastern Caribbean Central Bank’s policy direction reinforces this concern. Through its Office of Financial Conduct, the ECCB is strengthening consumer protection with attention to fair treatment, transparency, fees and charges, access to services and complaint resolution. Its wider financial-conduct framework also recognises the importance of maintaining a competitive market environment.

    The ECCB has not taken a position on any particular acquisition. Nevertheless, its approach provides important institutional context for the Prime Minister’s concerns. Consumer protection and competition are closely connected because customers are better protected when credible alternatives exist.

    The numbers make the matter more compelling. Butterfield’s May 2026 investor presentation estimated that CIBC Caribbean held approximately 25 per cent of deposit market share in Antigua and Barbuda. If an institution representing roughly one-quarter of national deposits were acquired by an existing major domestic competitor, regulators would need to examine the resulting combined market share and whether customers would still have meaningful choices.

    Concentration is not the same as monopoly, and high market share does not itself establish anti-competitive conduct. The proper test is whether consolidation would materially weaken competition by reducing alternatives, raising barriers to entry, diminishing pressure on fees and service, or restricting access to credit.

    This is especially important for small and medium-sized enterprises. Many depend on relationship banking and cannot access international capital markets. In a highly concentrated system, an entrepreneur’s practical ability to shop for credit can become severely constrained.

    Internationally connected banks may also provide correspondent relationships, trade finance, letters of credit and specialised services that smaller institutions may find difficult to replicate. For an economy dependent on tourism, imports, investment and cross-border commerce, these capabilities have strategic value.

    None of this means foreign ownership is inherently superior. Strong indigenous banks can understand local conditions, retain more profits domestically and contribute significantly to national development. The correct choice is not foreign versus local, but competitive, capable, customer-focused and well-regulated banking versus excessive concentration.

    Every major banking merger in a small economy should therefore undergo explicit competition-impact and consumer-impact assessments. Regulators should examine market share, realistic alternatives, likely effects on fees and lending, barriers to entry, correspondent-banking capacity and consequences for small businesses. Service quality should also be measured before and after consolidation.

    The central test should be simple: will the merger strengthen the institution, preserve genuine competition and produce measurable benefits for customers?

    Seen in that context, the Prime Minister’s reluctance to actively promote further domestic consolidation is prudent and consistent with his support for local ownership. National ownership should strengthen the economy, not unintentionally weaken the competitive forces that protect citizens.

    Economic progress cannot be measured solely by institutional size, ownership or profit. Sound policy must also consider depositors, homeowners, entrepreneurs, pensioners and families. Progress is most durable when private success and public benefit advance together.

    A strong banking system is not defined by the size of its banks, but by whether citizens and businesses enjoy secure, reliable, accessible, affordable and genuinely competitive financial services.

    In banking, bigger can be better—but only where progress serves the broadest public interest and ultimately contributes to the greatest good for all.

    The views expressed are those of the writer

    This article was originally published by Antigua News Room. Read the original article here: OPINION: Why Bigger May Not Be Better: Bank Mergers, Market Power and the Price of Lost Competition.

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